GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Yelimay Semey are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Astana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Astana

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

14.6%

FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay SemeyWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC AstanaDWLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay SemeyFC Astana
48.3Attack55.0
60.0Defence65.0
51.7Form63.3
55.2Power61.9
1.06xG1.23
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