GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Yelimay Semey are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Altay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Premier League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay SemeyDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AltayLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay SemeyAltay
48.3Attack28.6
60.0Defence49.2
51.7Form27.0
55.2Power37.9
1.66xG0.59
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