GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yelimay Semey are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alashkert are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 36.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay SemeyDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlashkertDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Yelimay SemeyAlashkert
33.3Attack25.0
66.7Defence50.0
33.3Form25.0
48.3Power36.2
1.51xG0.98
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