GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taraz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Yelimay Semey 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Taraz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Taraz hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the 1. Division, while Taraz holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taraz

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

14.4%

Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay Semey 2WWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TarazDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay Semey 2Taraz
25.9Attack42.6
40.7Defence57.4
22.2Form44.4
32.8Power49.5
0.77xG1.49
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