GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barry Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Yate Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Barry Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Barry Town hold a 61.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 85.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Barry Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barry Town

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

9.7%

Barry Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yate TownWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Barry TownWWDLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yate TownBarry Town
0.0Attack88.9
66.7Defence55.6
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power85.2
1.46xG2.12
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