GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yarud Mariupol' · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yarud Mariupol' are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SK Poltava are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 49.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Persha Liga, while Yarud Mariupol' holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yarud Mariupol'

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Yarud Mariupol' has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yarud Mariupol'DDWDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
SK PoltavaLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Yarud Mariupol'SK Poltava
34.5Attack58.3
69.0Defence46.4
44.0Form44.0
51.3Power49.5
1.19xG0.98
View match centre →