Yarud Mariupol'vs
Kolos Kovalivka II
SCHEDULEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yarud Mariupol' · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Yarud Mariupol' are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kolos Kovalivka II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yarud Mariupol' hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Persha Liga, while Yarud Mariupol' holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yarud Mariupol'
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
19.4%
Yarud Mariupol' has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40