Yangpyeongvs
Changwon City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 5/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Yangpyeong are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Changwon City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Yangpyeong hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20