GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Yanbian Longding are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Shaanxi Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Yanbian Longding hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yanbian LongdingDWLDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Shaanxi UnionDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yanbian LongdingShaanxi Union
47.4Attack50.0
71.9Defence68.5
56.1Form48.1
59.7Power54.9
0.97xG0.76
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