GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yanbian Longding · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Yanbian Longding are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yanbian Longding hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the League One, while Yanbian Longding holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yanbian Longding

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Yanbian Longding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yanbian LongdingWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringDLDDL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Yanbian LongdingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
47.4Attack51.9
71.9Defence35.2
56.1Form38.9
59.7Power44.6
2.06xG0.76
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