GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

XV de Piracicaba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Velo Clube are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

XV de PiracicabaDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Velo ClubeWLDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
XV de PiracicabaVelo Clube
40.5Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
52.4Form42.9
54.7Power49.6
0.88xG0.60
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