GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 7/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

XV de Piracicaba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cianorte are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

XV de PiracicabaLWDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CianorteWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
XV de PiracicabaCianorte
40.5Attack31.3
66.7Defence68.8
52.4Form47.9
54.7Power50.6
0.82xG0.56
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