XV de PiracicabavsCFRJ / Maricá

XV de Piracicaba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CFRJ / Maricá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie D, while XV de Piracicaba holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.