GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 6/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

XV de Piracicaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

XV de Piracicaba are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while América RJ are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Serie D, while XV de Piracicaba holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

XV de Piracicaba

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

XV de Piracicaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

XV de PiracicabaDLDDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
América RJWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
XV de PiracicabaAmérica RJ
40.5Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
52.4Form36.1
54.7Power37.1
1.82xG0.58
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