Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xorazm · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
19%
HighconfidenceXorazm are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mash'al are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and xorazm hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring Xorazm with 18.9% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Xorazm
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
18.9%
Xorazm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
XorazmLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mash'alLLDWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
XorazmMash'al
29.2Attack16.7
54.2Defence39.6
39.6Form8.3
43.5Power25.6
1.20xG0.59