GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 4/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Samarqand · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Xorazm are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dinamo Samarqand are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Samarqand hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Super League, while Dinamo Samarqand holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Samarqand

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Dinamo Samarqand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

XorazmLDWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo SamarqandLDWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
XorazmDinamo Samarqand
31.4Attack52.9
52.9Defence43.1
39.2Form43.1
43.7Power49.0
1.13xG1.38
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