GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 7/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Xiamen Feilu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Xiamen FeiluWDLLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shenzhen 2028WWDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Xiamen FeiluShenzhen 2028
45.0Attack60.0
56.7Defence61.7
43.3Form60.0
50.0Power60.5
1.07xG1.47
View match centre →