Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wycombe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Stevenage are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the League Cup, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
12.7%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40