Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wycombe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ipswich are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ipswich holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ipswich
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
11.6%
Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20