GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wuhan Three Towns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenyang Urban hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Super League, while Wuhan Three Towns holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wuhan Three Towns

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Wuhan Three Towns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three TownsDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shenyang UrbanLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Wuhan Three TownsShenyang Urban
47.6Attack44.4
39.7Defence47.6
31.7Form38.1
41.3Power44.0
1.60xG1.50
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