GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/14/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wuhan Three Towns are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

11.9%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three TownsDWDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SHANGHAI SIPGWLWDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Wuhan Three TownsSHANGHAI SIPG
46.7Attack52.4
41.7Defence54.0
33.3Form42.9
42.2Power50.9
1.36xG1.73
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