GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Super League, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three TownsDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongWDDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Wuhan Three TownsChongqing Tongliang Long
47.6Attack36.2
39.7Defence60.9
31.7Form43.5
41.3Power49.5
1.18xG1.24
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