GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

WSG Wattens are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Bundesliga, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

14.1%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WSG WattensLDWLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Red Bull SalzburgDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
31.3Power64.8
1.08xG1.36
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