Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wörgl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wörgl are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 8.00 conceded, while Kufstein are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kufstein hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 18.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Wörgl holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wörgl
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Wörgl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 24 · avg 0.33/8.00
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60