Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Horsham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Worthing are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Horsham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Horsham hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Horsham holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Horsham
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Horsham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60