GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Worthing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Worthing are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton U21 hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Worthing holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Worthing

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

12.3%

Worthing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WorthingDWDDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Brighton U21LLDWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WorthingBrighton U21
16.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
47.8Power56.2
1.54xG1.48
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