Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wolves are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Port Vale are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolves hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the League Cup, while Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wolves
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
10.8%
Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60