Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wolves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Blackburn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolves hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Championship, while Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wolves
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
13.0%
Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00