Wisla Plockvs
Lech Poznan
SCHEDULEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/16/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Plock · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wisla Plock are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lech Poznan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Ekstraklasa, while Wisla Plock holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wisla Plock
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
14.6%
Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80