GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/16/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wisla Plock · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wisla Plock are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lech Poznan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Ekstraklasa, while Wisla Plock holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wisla Plock

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

14.6%

Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wisla PlockLDWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lech PoznanWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Wisla PlockLech Poznan
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
44.4Form66.7
51.1Power64.8
1.17xG1.12
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