GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wiltz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wiltz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while FC Differdange 03 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wiltz hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (69.2 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the National Division, while Wiltz holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wiltz

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

10.8%

Wiltz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WiltzWDLDW

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Differdange 03WLLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WiltzFC Differdange 03
100.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
69.2Power56.2
1.92xG1.43
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