Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiltz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Wiltz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AS Eupen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wiltz hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Wiltz holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wiltz
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Wiltz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00