Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Willem II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Willem II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while OFI are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and OFI hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Willem II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Willem II
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Willem II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80