Willem IIvsNEC Nijmegen

Willem II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while NEC Nijmegen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and NEC Nijmegen hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Eredivisie, while Willem II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.