GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/14/2026, 5:47:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wigry Suwałki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Troszyn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Troszyn

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

12.8%

Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wigry SuwałkiDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TroszynLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Wigry SuwałkiTroszyn
45.1Attack73.5
62.7Defence53.9
47.1Form55.9
52.8Power59.5
1.34xG1.56
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