Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wigan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Port Vale are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wigan
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20