GGOALVIO

Wieczysta Kraków logoWieczysta KrakówvsLech Poznan logoLech Poznan

COMPLETED

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lech Poznan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wieczysta Kraków are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lech Poznan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Ekstraklasa, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lech Poznan

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wieczysta KrakówLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lech PoznanLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wieczysta KrakówLech Poznan
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.13xG1.43
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