Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mendrisio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Widnau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mendrisio are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mendrisio hold a 46.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, while Mendrisio holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mendrisio
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
13.0%
Mendrisio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80