Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Whitehawk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Whitehawk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lewes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Whitehawk hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Whitehawk holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Whitehawk
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
11.7%
Whitehawk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00