GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilkeston Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Whitby Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ilkeston Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilkeston Town hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ilkeston Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilkeston Town

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

13.6%

Ilkeston Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Whitby TownLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ilkeston TownWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Whitby TownIlkeston Town
33.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
47.8Power83.3
1.17xG1.47
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