Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wexford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wexford are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Waterford are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Wexford holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wexford
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Wexford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20