Wexfordvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wexford are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Longford Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60