Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wexford are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kerry are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00