Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wexford are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kerry are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00