GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 5/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wexford · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Wexford are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Finn Harps are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wexford hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the First Division, while Wexford holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wexford

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Wexford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WexfordWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Finn HarpsLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WexfordFinn Harps
39.5Attack25.9
51.9Defence34.6
42.0Form27.2
46.4Power32.3
1.73xG0.67
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