GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Western United II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Western United IIWDWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne Victory IIWWWLD

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Western United IIMelbourne Victory II
63.9Attack75.4
12.5Defence49.3
36.1Form58.0
40.1Power61.0
2.02xG3.94
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