GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eltham Redbacks FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Western United II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Eltham Redbacks FC are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eltham Redbacks FC hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Eltham Redbacks FC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eltham Redbacks FC

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

6.9%

Eltham Redbacks FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Western United IIWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Eltham Redbacks FCDWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Western United IIEltham Redbacks FC
66.7Attack75.0
8.7Defence45.8
36.2Form48.6
39.8Power54.6
2.29xG3.86
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