GGOALVIO

Western Sydney Wanderers logoWestern Sydney WanderersvsMelbourne Victory logoMelbourne Victory

COMPLETED

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/8/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Western Sydney Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Western Sydney Wanderers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Melbourne Victory are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Australia Cup, while Western Sydney Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Western Sydney Wanderers

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

10.3%

Western Sydney Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Western Sydney WanderersLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne VictoryWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Western Sydney WanderersMelbourne Victory
50.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power74.3
1.77xG1.74
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