GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Western Sydney W. II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Western Sydney W. II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.7 against 48.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the New South Wales NPL, while Western Sydney W. II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Western Sydney W. II

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Western Sydney W. II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Western Sydney W. IILLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NWS SpiritWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Western Sydney W. IINWS Spirit
61.9Attack41.7
46.4Defence56.0
41.7Form44.0
48.7Power48.0
1.77xG1.24
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