GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 6/26/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Torrens Birkalla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

West Torrens Birkalla are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and West Torrens Birkalla hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (66.0 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the South Australia NPL, while West Torrens Birkalla holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Torrens Birkalla

Probability

70.1%

Model confidence

70.1%

West Torrens Birkalla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West Torrens BirkallaLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sturt LionsWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
West Torrens BirkallaSturt Lions
81.8Attack53.0
56.1Defence45.5
68.2Form40.9
66.0Power46.5
3.13xG1.24
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