West Hamvs
Portsmouth
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portsmouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
West Ham are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Portsmouth are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Portsmouth hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the League Cup, while Portsmouth holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portsmouth
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
12.2%
Portsmouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40